Posts tagged ‘Obama’

May 3, 2011

‘Obama got Osama’ won’t win in 2012

View Original Source: 
http://edition.cnn.com/2011/OPINION/05/03/granderson.obama.2012/

By LZ Granderson, CNN Contributor
May 3, 2011 — Updated 1840 GMT (0240 HKT)

Editor’s note: LZ Granderson writes a weekly column for CNN.com. A senior writer and columnist for ESPN The Magazine and ESPN.com, he has contributed to ESPN’s “Sports Center,” “Outside the Lines” and “First Take.” He is a 2010 nominee and the 2009 winner of the Gay and Lesbian Alliance Against Defamation award for online journalism and a 2010 and 2008 honoree of the National Lesbian and Gay Journalists Association for column writing. Watch him on “CNN Newsroom” at 9 a.m. ET Wednesday.

Grand Rapids, Michigan (CNN) — Well, that didn’t last long.

Osama bin Laden’s body was barely cold when President Barack Obama’s detractors began subtly deconstructing what the president called “a good day for America.”

Rush Limbaugh started his show with a sarcastic intro thanking “God for President Obama.” Emily Miller, an editor at The Washington Times, tweeted that she wanted to see a picture of bin Laden’s dead body.

Facebook and Twitter are already full of conspiracy theorists, questioning the validity of the U.S. military’s account and minimizing the role the president played in authorizing the mission.

I swear if Obama turned water into wine his critics would accuse him of being an alcoholic. That’s why as satisfying as it may be to have brought an end to the bin Laden nightmare, the Democrats need to move on and get back to work because their opposition already has.

To interpret the country’s “good day” as an easier path back to the White House would be a colossal mistake. A CNN poll taken in the aftermath of bin Laden’s death found that while two-thirds of Americans approve of how Obama is handling terrorism, his overall approval rating of 52% is just 1 percentage point higher than from last week. Remember George H.W. Bush’s approval rating went through the roof shortly after he forced Saddam Hussein out of Kuwait during Desert Storm in 1991.

The following year he was out of a job.

What can I say? The country has a short attention span.

By the time summer rolls around, bin Laden’s death will be a distant memory, but the unemployment rate and gas prices will still be here, fresh in our minds.

What will Democrats have to say?

Or better yet, what will Democrats be responding to?

That is what Democrats seem to do best, isn’t? React instead of initiate, ideologically handcuffed to a ridiculous game of cat and mouse seemingly oblivious to the fact their opponent is playing chess.

The most recent example of this can be found in Oklahoma.

Last week state Rep. Sally Kern came under fire for saying the reason why there is a disproportionately high number of blacks in Oklahoma’s prisons was because blacks “didn’t want to work hard in school.” Kern also said women made less than men because women “tend to think more about their families.” She made her remarks during a debate on Senate Joint Resolution 15, a proposal to eliminate affirmative action policies in the operation of public employment, public education or public contracting.

Despite Kern’s offensive language, the House voted 76-16 to put the initiative on the ballot in, get this, 2012. Yep, the presidential election.

At first my anger was directed at Kern until I realized I’ve heard this song before.

The so-called birther bills — which require candidates to prove citizenship before appearing on ballots — were introduced in Arizona (before being vetoed by Gov. Jan Brewer) and Oklahoma as a wink and nod to the Republican fringe.

In the last decade the Federal Marriage Amendment and anti-gay state constitutional amendments were used by Karl Rove and George W. Bush to corral religious conservatives into the voting booths.

Senate Joint Resolution 15 is not really about abusive affirmative action practices in Oklahoma.

It’s about Republicans taking back the White House.

While relying on divisive social issues such as race and abortion as a means to get votes may seem a bit outdated, until Democrats figure out a way to nullify the fear-mongering tactic effectively, Republicans are going to keep going to the well.

Allow me to direct your attention to Minnesota. This week it passed House File 1613, a state constitutional amendment proposal stating that only a union of one man and one woman is “valid or recognized” as a marriage. It too will be on the ballot in 2012.

On Monday night in Pennsylvania, House Bill 1434 was introduced by Rep. Daryl Metcalfe. It would “define” marriage as a union between one man and one woman and outlaw any other legal union that is treated as marriage or the substantial equivalent (i.e. civil unions or domestic partnerships). It too is being aimed for 2012.

Kern’s statements are insensitive, but they did not reveal anything new about her any more than the next outlandish statement out of Howard Stern’s mouth tells us what kind of radio personality he is. However, it does shed a lot of light on how she feels about her fellow Oklahomans.

By helping to place this measure on the ballot during the upcoming presidential election, it is clear Kern and her kind are betting a significant portion of the voters who believe affirmative action is a bad thing will also see Obama as a byproduct of its institutionalization. Kern was a teacher for 20 years and knows quotas have been illegal for decades and that affirmative action does not force employers to hire unqualified minorities or colleges to admit lazy black students.

But by framing the argument to suggest otherwise, Kern makes a thinly veiled appeal to anyone in her constituency who may be white and racist. And Kern clearly believes there are enough racist whites in Oklahoma worth the effort to try and scare to the polls. Just as Republicans in Minnesota are looking for a strong conservative and/or homophobic showing by placing gay marriage on its 2012 ballot.

I’ve never been white or straight, but if I were either, I would imagine I would find such sophomoric pandering disgusting.

But that’s just me.

Anyway, since making the remarks Kern has apologized and was reprimanded by the Oklahoma House. But apparently that’s not good enough because progressive organizations such as the NAACP and GLAAD say they want her to resign.

I say it’s another example of chasing pawns at the expense of exposing the king.

What these and groups like them need to be doing is figuring out how to maintain control of a narrative that keeps slipping out of their hands. They have the public’s attention with bin Laden’s death; can they keep it? Because while ridiculing Kern and Donald Trump is sexy today, it doesn’t guarantee voters will be ready to marry the Obama administration for four more years. Grass-roots and state-level Democrats need a solvent voice and tangible plan in place — separate from what Republicans are doing — to make sure the voters in their communities who are connected now, stay connected.

Having an “unqualified blacks and Mexicans are stealing your job” proposal on the ballot may get you in trouble in a human resources office, but it effectively provides Kern and other conservative Oklahomans with another motivator to campaign around to get their base to the polls in 2012.

What are the comparable initiatives being funneled down the pipeline by Democrats to ensure their voters show up? Are they too busy preparing their next sternly worded letter demanding an apology?

Correcting a lie?

Being wagged by its tail?

In a perfect world, both parties would come together to celebrate what bin Laden’s death means to the country’s sense of closure. But the truth is some Republicans have already left the party and others didn’t even bother showing up.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of LZ Granderson.

March 18, 2011

Libya: Obama tells Gaddafi to withdraw or face UN-backed air strikes

Cached: 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/mar/18/libya-obama-gaddafi-un-strikes

Barack Obama stressed his country would not dominate the UN-backed coalition. Photograph: Michael Reynolds/EPA

Muammar Gaddafi has been handed a “non-negotiable ultimatum” by Barack Obama to accept an immediate ceasefire, pull back from Libyan rebel strongholds and permit humanitarian assistance – or face the full onslaught of UN-endorsed air strikes.

In an attempt to reassure Middle East opinion and his own domestic audience, Obama said the US would help to co-ordinate a no-fly-zone, but not lead an operation that will include French, British and Arab jets.

The US president issued his warning after Gaddafi’s foreign minister, Moussa Koussa, claimed he would accept a ceasefire in the wake of the UN security council resolution passed late on Thursday night authorising “all necessary measures short of an occupation force” to protect civilians.

In a stark message, Obama said: “Muammar Gaddafi has a choice. The resolution that was passed lays out very clear conditions that must be met. The United States, the United Kingdom, France and Arab states agree that a ceasefire must be implemented immediately.”

He said this meant:

• All attacks against civilians must stop.

• Gaddafi must stop his troops from advancing on the rebel stronghold Benghazi, and pull them back from Ajdabiya, Misrata and Zawiya.

• Gaddafi must establish water, electricity and gas supplies to all areas.

• Humanitarian assistance must be allowed to reach the people of Libya.

“Let me be clear: these terms are not negotiable. These terms are not subject to negotiation. If Gaddafi does not comply with the resolution the international community will impose consequences and the resolution will be enforced through military action.”

David Cameron warned: “We will judge him [Gaddafi] by his actions and not by his words. What is absolutely clear is the UN security council resolution said he must stop what he is doing – brutalising his people. If not, all necessary measures can follow to make him stop.”

The next stage of the international response will be co-ordinated at an emergency conference in Paris, including Cameron, Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, Hillary Clinton, the US secretary of state, and the leading Arab states that have formed an ad hoc coalition to reverse the Gaddafi advance.

It is likely French and British fighter jets will be flying over Libya by Saturday night unless Gaddafi produces more convincing evidence that he has pulled back. Some as yet unidentified Arab states will join the air enforcement.

Cameron said he had already ordered British Tornado and Typhoon fighter jets to be deployed to bases in the region, along with air-refuelling equipment.

The prime minister said: “This is not another Iraq. There will be no foreign occupation of Libya.” He maintained that military action would be in the national interest. “If Gaddafi’s attacks on his own people succeed, Libya will become once again a pariah state, festering on Europe’s border, a source of instability, exporting strife beyond her borders. A state from which literally hundreds of thousands of citizens could seek to escape, putting huge pressure on us in Europe.

“We cannot stand back and let a dictator whose people have rejected him kill his people indiscriminately. To do so would send a chilling signal to others.”

Cameron revealed that he had given his cabinet time to read legal advice from the attorney general, Dominic Grieve, setting out why a no-fly zone and other actions will be lawful. The cabinet was also addressed by the chief of the defence staff, Sir David Richards.

A summary of the legal advice will be handed to MPs on Monday when they will be asked to vote on a substantive motion to support military action.

Cameron won wide praise in the Commons, including support from the Labour leader, Ed Miliband, for his role in securing diplomatic support for a no-fly zone after it looked as if Britain and France were going to be left isolated. But the prime minister has been ambiguous about the extent to which his aim is to remove Gaddafi from power, and still faces questions on how long British pilots will have to police a no-fly zone if a political impasse emerges on the ground.

He said: “It is almost impossible to envisage a future for Libya that includes him [Gaddafi]. It is not in our national interest for this man to lead a pariah state on the southern banks of Europe with all the problems that that could entail.”

But he also accepted that the UN resolution did not endorse regime change. “The UN resolution is not about choosing the government of Libya. That is an issue for the Libyan people.”

Obama stressed that the US would not dominate this UN-backed coalition. He said: “I also want to be clear about what we will not be doing. The United States is not going to deploy ground troops into Libya. We are not going to use force to go beyond a well defined goal: specifically the protection of civilians in Libya.”

The Pentagon, in a statement, said Libya has about 30 missile sites, mainly spread along the coast, and that they posed a “significant threat to US and Nato aircraft”.

The French foreign minister, Alain Juppé, said everything was ready to launch military strikes, and that a ceasefire would need to cover the whole country.

The announcement of a ceasefire was dismissed by a rebel commander in the anti-Gaddafi stronghold of Benghazi, who accused the Libyan leader of bluffing.

Khalifa Heftir told reporters: “Gaddafi does not speak any truth … All the world knows that Muammar Gaddafi is a liar. He and his sons, and his family, and all those with him are liars.”

Tripoli said it had asked Malta and Turkey to help monitor the ceasefire.

Reports continued of fighting in Misrata, a key port between the capital and Benghazi. Officials in Tripoli were tight-lipped about the details of the ceasefire. The decision seemed based on hopes that it would sow division inside the UN. There was little evidence of any wish to engage in real dialogue with the Benghazi rebels.

Libyan state media all but ignored the ceasefire, continuing its stream of patriotic programmes and announcements, playing clip after clip of pro-Gaddafi demonstrators declaring their support for the leader. Tripoli seemed calm but tense throughout the day, with police patrol cars visible in unusual numbers in the centre of the city as officers checked identity cards. Several explosions to the west added to an already jumpy mood.

February 20, 2011

New picture emerges of gaunt Apple boss Steve Jobs at dinner with Obama and Silicon Valley elite

Cached: 
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1358951/New-picture-emerges-gaunt-Apple-boss-Steve-Jobs-dinner-Obama-Silicon-Valley-elite.html

By Daily Mail Reporter
Last updated at 9:39 PM on 20th February 2011

 

Steve Jobs, shown here (2/17/2011) with an unidentified man at Thursday's meeting for America's wealthiest entrepreneurs. The Apple boss has been dogged by rumours about his health

An image of gaunt Apple boss Steve Jobs at a meeting with U.S. President Barack Obama last week for America’s wealthiest internet entrepreneurs has emerged.

The image, distributed by a news agency, appears to have been taken on a mobile phone. it shows Mr Jobs standing next to an unidentified man.

It is unclear who took the photograph.

The White House had only released two images from the meeting in northern California on Thursday.

They showed Mr Obama with Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, and a view of all the leaders making a toast around a table.

In that image, Mr Jobs’ back is to the camera. He is the only one there who has not raised his glass fully, his elbow still resting on the table.

 

Guest list: One of the images released by the White House of Thursday's dinner (2/17/2011). Left, from President Obama, Apple chairman and CEO Steve Jobs, Westly group founder Steve Westly, host's wife Ann Doerr, Google CEO Eric Schmidt, Genentech chairman Art Levinson, Cisco Systems CEO John Chambers, venture capitalist John Doerr (host) Oracle CEO Larry Ellison, Netflix CEO Reed Hastings, Stanford University president John Hennessy, Yahoo president Carol Bartz, Twitter CEO Dick Costolo, unknown, Facebook founder, president and CEO Mark Zuckerberg

Mr Jobs has been battling pancreatic cancer. Fears were growing over his health after pictures were published last week showing him looking extremely gaunt and with thinning hair.

They were apparently taken of the Apple boss in Palo Alto, California.

A spokesman at the hospital declined to comment.

The pictures were published by the National Enquirer, who quoted medical experts who claimed that, based on the images, they believed Mr Jobs only has about six weeks to live.

Mr Jobs, 55, stepped away from the company on medical leave last month. It was the third time in seven years that he has taken time out because of health reasons.

The high-tech visionary has come to embody Apple’s turbulent history and some of the industry’s most cutting-edge products.

The company has refused to provide any details on Jobs’ health, comment on the recent reports or say when he might return from leave.

Mr Jobs was not seen by a pool of White House reporters who were kept out of sight of participants at Thursday’s dinner at venture capitalist John Doerr’s secluded home in the affluent suburb of Woodside.

But a White House official confirmed that all those on the guest list were present.

Mr Jobs had surgery in 2004 for an unusual type of tumor on his pancreas called a neuroendocrine tumor. He had a liver transplant in 2009.

Chief Operating Officer Tim Cook is running Apple’s day-to-day operations while Mr Jobs is on leave.

Analysts noted that Mr Jobs’ health problems are widely known by investors, who are not likely to be shocked by Internet reports.

‘I find it puzzling that he would be on campus and ‘working’ from home if he was that sick,’ said Peter Misek, an analyst at Jefferies.

‘Seeing him go into a cancer treatment facility shouldn’t be a surprise.’

Mr Jobs had been seen in recent weeks on Apple’s campus in Cupertino, California.

The company has said he will continue to be involved in major strategic decisions.

Known for his idiosyncratic style, Mr Jobs rescued the computer maker from near death in 1996 after a 12-year absence from the company he co-founded.

The launch of the iPhone, a smartphone with a touchscreen in 2007, and the iPad, a tablet computer in 2010, forged new business lines for the company that created the personal computing category and helped lead the technology industry into new directions.

White House spokesman Jay Carney said ahead of Thursday’s meeting: ‘This is a part of our economy that has been a huge contributor to economic growth in the last several decades and we expect will continue to be.’

Along with Mr Jobs and Mr Zuckerberg, the meeting was also attended by Google CEO Eric Schmidt, Oracle CEO Larry Ellison and other members of the Silicon Valley elite.

February 5, 2011

US welcomes any step that moves Egypt towards democracy

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Cached: 
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics/nation/us-welcomes-any-step-that-moves-egypt-towards-democracy/articleshow/7434250.cms

6 Feb, 2011, 01.05AM IST,PTI

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WASHINGTON: Welcoming any step that moves Egypt, which is the middle of a political unrest, towards transition to democracy , the White House today said that it is for the Egyptians to decide how this transition occurs.

“As the President has repeatedly said, Egyptians will be the ones that decide how this transition occurs. We welcome any step that provides credibility to that process,” said Tommy Vietor Spokesman, National Security Council, White House.

The White House statement came amidst reports that Gamal Mubarak, the head of the National Democratic Party and son of embattled President Hosni Mubarak has resigned.

“We view this as a positive step towards the political change that will be necessary, and look forward to additional steps,” a senior Administration official said when asked about the latest development coming from Egypt.

Later in the day, Obama was scheduled to receive a briefing on the situation from his senior national security staff on the unfolding developments in Egypt.

Earlier in the morning, the Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough convened a Deputies Committee meeting on Egypt.

Yesterday, Obama had hoped that the Egyptian President would be able to make right decision.

“In order for Egypt to have a bright future, which I believe it can have, the only thing that will work is moving a orderly transition process that begins right now that engages all the parties, that leads to democratic practices, fair and free elections, and representative government that is responsive to the grievances of the Egyptian people,” he said.

“Once the (Egyptian) President himself announced that he was not going to be running again, and since his term is up relatively shortly, the key question he should be asking himself is, how do I leave a legacy behind in which Egypt is able to get through this transformative period? My hope is that he will end up making the right decision,” Obama said responding to reporters question on Egypt at a joint White House news conference with the Canadian Prime Minister, Stephen Harper.

Mubarak’s men key to US reform hopes in Egypt

Seattle Post Intelligencer

Cached: 
http://www.seattlepi.com/national/1110ap_us_mubaraks_men.html

FILE - In this April 22, 2009, file photo Egypt's intelligence chief Omar Suleiman is in Jerusalem for a first high-level meeting between an Egyptian official and Israel's new hard-line government. A week of American telephone diplomacy with a small group of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's closest advisers is key to a U.S. hoped-for transition towards democracy in Egypt, where smothered political opposition leaves no clear alternative to the U.S. for a bargaining partner. Vice President Joe Biden spoke to Suleiman, now 74, who became vice president on Jan. 29, 2011. (AP Photo/Tara Todras-Whitehill, File)

WASHINGTON — Seeking reform in Egypt, the U.S. increasingly is counting on a small cadre of President Hosni Mubarak’s closest advisers to guide a hoped-for transition from autocracy to democracy.

It’s a plan that relies on long relationships with military men and bureaucrats who owe their professional success to Mubarak’s iron rule. To the regret of some U.S. diplomats, it’s also a plan that steers around the Muslim Brotherhood, the powerful Islamist political movement that almost surely would play a central role in any future popularly chosen government.

Not that Washington has much choice.

Mubarak has so smothered potential political opposition that there is no clear alternative for the U.S. as a bargaining partner, even if dealing with aging Mubarak stalwarts reduces U.S. credibility with Egyptians fed up with the Mubarak era.

The Obama administration’s telephone diplomacy this past week was indicative of the American strategy to keep Egypt from tearing itself apart.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Vice President Joe Biden spoke to Omar Suleiman, Egypt’s 74-year-old intelligence chief who became vice president last week. Defense Secretary Robert Gates chatted with his 85-year-old counterpart, Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi. Joint Chiefs chairman Adm. Mike Mullen discussed the situation with Egypt’s top military official, Lt. Gen. Sami Anan, 62. Another key figure is Prime Minister Ahmed Shafiq, a 69-year-old former Air Force chief.

U.S. diplomatic cables released by the WikiLeaks website encapsulate part of the problem with trusting these men to be the head ushers of democratic and economic change.

Beyond the generational split with young protesters disgruntled by years of harsh unemployment, inequality and political repression, the Mubarak men belong to a military elite whose wealth and power are inextricably linked to the 82-year-old president.

“Egypt’s military is in decline,” a 2008 U.S. cable says, summarizing a series of conversations with academics and analysts. The memo cites a professor in Egypt as saying “the sole criteria for promotion is loyalty and the … leadership does not hesitate to fire officers it perceives as being `too competent’ and who therefore potentially pose a threat to the regime.”

Yet the military’s authority remains strong and its interests in Egypt vast. Mubarak built an army of almost a half-million men that holds large stakes in the water, olive oil, cement, construction, hotel and gasoline industries.

A diplomatic cable also describes large land holdings of the military along the Nile Delta and the Red Sea, and suggests that the top brass would not be served by important change toward democracy and freer markets.

Most analysts agree that the military “generally opposes economic reforms,” according to the U.S. diplomatic correspondence.

The exchanges describe an Egypt ripe for political unrest. A 2007 note from the U.S. ambassador at time, Francis J. Ricciardone, said Mubarak’s “reluctance to lead more boldly” was hurting his effectiveness.

Ricciardone singled out Egypt’s elite 40,000-member counterterror police as he described a “culture of impunity.” The ambassador noted that the Egyptian government shut down a human rights group that had helped the family of a detainee killed in 2003. The officers were exonerated of torture and murder charges.

The cables also provide glimpses of the difficult environment for Egypt’s bloggers and journalists. During protests in Cairo this past week, pro-government mobs beat, threatened and intimidated reporters attempting to inform the world of the unfolding events in the country.

In one cable, an Egyptian blogger complained to the U.S. Embassy after YouTube and Google removed videos from his blog apparently showing a Bedouin shot by Egyptian police and thrown on a garbage dump, and another one of a woman being tortured in a police station.

The cables contain mixed assessments of some of those being counted on to lead Egypt’s transition after six decades when the country’s four presidents all came from the officer corps.

Suleiman, referred to as the “Mubarak consigliere,” comes out better than others. He is described as disappointed as far back as 2007 that he had yet to be named vice president. Yet on first glance, he seems an ideal candidate to guide Egypt through an unstable period.

At a time when Mubarak’s son Gamal was being promoted as a future president, a U.S. cable says Suleiman “would at the least have to figure in any succession scenario.”

“He could be attractive to the ruling apparatus and the public at large as a reliable figure unlikely to harbor ambitions for another multi-decade presidency,” according to the cable.

But it is unclear what that will mean now as thousands of Egyptians demand Mubarak’s immediate resignation.

There’s little indication Suleiman will show his longtime boss the door, even if Obama administration officials are discussing options that include having Mubarak step aside now for a transitional government headed by Suleiman.

“His loyalty to Mubarak seems rock-solid,” a cable written four years ago concludes.

Under one proposal, Mubarak would hand his powers to his vice president, though not his title immediately, to give the ruler a graceful exit.

Suleiman has offered negotiations with all political forces, including protest leaders and the regime’s top foe, the Muslim Brotherhood. He’s spoken of independent supervision of elections, loosening restrictions on who can run for president and term limits for leaders.

He has some support.

Opposition leader Mohamed ElBaradei, a former U.N. atomic energy chief and Nobel peace laureate, said he respects Suleiman as a possible negotiating partner. Some protesters have backed the idea of Suleiman playing a leading role in the transition; others see him too much of a Mubarak government figure and want him out, along with the president.

Then there’s Tantawi, known among younger servicemen as “Mubarak’s poodle,” according to one informant. His unbending support for Mubarak is described in worse terms.

“`This incompetent defense minister’” who reached his position only because of unwavering loyalty to Mubarak is `running the military into the ground,’” a U.S. diplomat wrote, relaying the assessment of an unidentified professor in Egypt.

Tantawi reached out to the demonstrators Friday by visiting the square that has been the rallying point for Cairo’s protests. He held friendly but heated discussions, telling people that most of their demands have been met and they should go home. “The people and the army are one hand!” they chanted during Tantawi’s brief stop.

Anan is largely respected among U.S. officials. The cables spare him the harsh criticism doled out to Tantawi, who is lambasted in various memos as the chief impediment to modernizing Egypt’s military.

But the fear of American officials illustrated throughout the notes – and offered by the Mubarak government as its main excuse for resisting democracy – is the threat posed by the Muslim Brotherhood.

U.S. officials say there have been no contacts with the hardline Islamist movement. It has formed the most organized opposition to Mubarak’s three-decade autocracy but opposes much of the U.S. agenda in the region, such as Arab-Israeli peace efforts.

“The specter of an MB presidency haunts secular Egyptians,” a cable noted. Still, it said such a development was “highly unlikely” and that the military wouldn’t support an extremist takeover.

But avoiding talks with the group could be a mistake for the U.S., if it means a missed opportunity for some influence with a group that could become a dominant force in Egypt’s future.

The United States has confirmed discussions with ElBaradei, who has “captured the imagination of some section of the secular elite that wants democracy but is wary of the popularity of the Muslim Brotherhood,” according to a February 2010 cable.

ElBaradei’s biggest challenge would be mustering credibility among Egyptians on the streets, it predicted. The jury is still out on that question, even if the Muslim Brotherhood has expressed support for ElBaradei as an acceptable point-man for leading the pro-democracy movement. The military’s view of him hasn’t really been made clear.

Ultimately, the protests haven’t made Egypt’s post-Mubarak future any clearer. What’s obvious now is that neither Mubarak will run in September elections. But no one knows how the military will react to possibly months more of instability.

“In a messier succession scenario,” a 2008 cable noted, “it becomes more difficult to predict the military’s actions.”

“While midlevel officers do not necessarily share their superiors’ fealty to the regime,” it is “unlikely that these officers could independently install a new leader.”

They military won’t have to act alone, and no officials are warning of a military coup. But the military elite’s reticence for change could prove a hindrance to democratic transformation.

U.S. officials consistently have criticized the government’s response to the crisis, and officials say Suleiman’s outreach efforts have been too narrow and not credible enough to gain widespread support and usher in real democracy.

As for Mubarak, who said in an ABC interview Thursday that Egypt would slip into chaos if he didn’t serve out his remaining seven months, the cables suggest he never really had a succession plan – long “the elephant in the room of Egyptian politics.”

“Mubarak himself seems to be trusting to God and the inertia of the military and civilian security services to ensure an orderly transition,” a 2007 cable said.

Associated Press writer Douglas Birch contributed to this report.

February 2, 2011

US Senators Speak Out on Egypt

Cached: 
http://www.voanews.com/english/news/usa/US-Senators-Speak-Out-on-Egypt-115104354.html

Michael Bowman | Capitol Hill, Washington  February 02, 2011

 

Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., makes a statement on the crisis in Egypt, on Capitol Hill in Washington, February 02, 2011.

Even before Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s announcement that he will not seek reelection, U.S. senators were speaking of his departure from power as a given.  Senators from both major political parties said Tuesday that U.S. aid to Egypt has been money well spent, and showed no inclination to alter or cut off that aid – at least for now.

AP. Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., right, and Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo. take part in a news conference,on Capitol Hill in Washington, February 02, 2011.

Hours beforeMr. Mubarak’s statement, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, John Kerry, said Egyptians have “moved beyond” their president. The Massachusetts Democrat said that declining to run for reelection should be but a first step for the Egyptian leader.

“To go even further – to move to put together a caretaker government over these next months in order to avoid violence and help transition Egypt to the future that its people want and deserve,” he said.

Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina echoed the call for a caretaker government, and urged continued U.S. engagement with Egypt.

“I think it would be wise for us [i.e., the United States] to be on the ground floor of helping this transition, rather than having a totally hands-off policy,” he said.

The Obama administration has applauded calls for change in Egypt, but says Egyptians must decide their country’s future.  For decades, Egypt has been one of the biggest recipients of U.S. foreign aid, totaling more than $1.5 billion a year during the past decade.

Connecticut Independent Senator Joseph Lieberman says it is money well spent.

“It did support a government which, over the years, has been very instrumental in maintaining stability in the Middle East,” said Lieberman. “The second thing is, a lot of the money goes to the Egyptian military.  And I think even in this moment of crisis, we see that the military is playing a critically important role in unifying the country.”

Lieberman says now is not the time to threaten Egyptians or their military with a cut-off of U.S. aid.

AP. Senate Foreign Relations Committee's ranking Republican, Sen. Richard Lugar (File Photo).

Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, the ranking Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, agrees.

“I think it would be inappropriate to be having that discussion while the Egyptians themselves are attempting to formulate appropriate governance,” said Lugar.

Fellow Republican Senator Susan Collins of Maine also says U.S. aid to Egypt has been constructive for both nations and the Middle East as a whole.  But she hesitates when asked whether she would guarantee future American assistance to Egypt.

“I think it is premature to make that conclusion,” said Collins. “For example, if somehow the Muslim Brotherhood gained control of the country, then clearly we would not be giving any aid to Egypt.”

Founded in the 1920s to resist British control of Egypt, the Muslim Brotherhood is a transnational Islamist political movement currently banned in the country.

Senator Lieberman says he does not assume that a new Egyptian leadership would be hostile to the United States or Israel. But he adds that President Mubarak can help assure the best possible outcome.

“He is a patriot, a nationalist,” said Lieberman. “And one of the great tests of a leader is how you end your time of leadership and transfer power to somebody else, hopefully in a way that is even better for the country. And the people of Egypt are obviously asking for change.”

U.S. senators are publicly backing that change and generally appear cautiously optimistic about what that change could bring.

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